TOP Comments
  • NBF Moderator point
    AI would be great since we are already projected to lose population in most of the First World Countries and China. And with the new anti-immigrant fever striking most of the First World Countries this decline will be steeper than expected.
  • NBF Moderator point
    Studies like these are almost completely useless, because they don't take into account the jobs and industries that don't exist today that will be created by advancing technology.

    People have been scaremongering about technology takin' ur jerbs for hundreds of years, and it has yet to come to pass.
  • NBF Moderator point
    To be fair to the ur jerbs crowd, there HAVE been periods over the past few centuries when a lot of people had their lives completely disrupted when tech took away their career paths.

    And while, as the pro-tech side keeps pointing out, this always results in more and better jobs coming along later, there is often a bunch of people who were stuck, for years or even decades, in between losing the old job and not yet getting the new one.

    Don't forget that the new jobs might involve all sorts of skills, abilities, and location changes. That the 60 year old field hand, who was really good at swinging a pruning hook or hoe, is completely lost at the new technology of walking behind a mule plowing a field.

    Just to list a couple:

    Holland, then England, and to a lesser extent the rest of western Europe, developed pumping and draining tech that transformed huge regions from boggy marshes into ploughable fields. Whole populations were evicted as land that was previously subsistence farming was turned into rich grainlands. A lot of these people ended up as the underclass in the growing cities. Millions and millions eventually ended up emigrating to the colonies.

    Introduction of machine cloth making actually increased the number of clothing workers during the industrial revolution, but those who previously were skilled trades with their own small business in the lower fringes of the middle class were transformed into basic mass workers.

    Mechanization of farms moves something like 80% of the population from being farm workers to having to find work in the cities. This meant vast numbers of unemployed men, looking for trouble. With a great deal of post hoc, ergo hoc reasoning and oversimplification, this can be summarized as World war 1, Great depression, World war 2.

    Mechanization, electrification and advanced chemistry slashed the number of hours to keep a house clean enough to live in from a full time 40-60 hours (depending on number of children) to a lazy 4 hours max. (plus whatever optional stuff you do for status competition reasons). The resulting vast horde of unoccupied women flooded into the workforce, and politics, with results that we are still trying to deal with.